By Suzanne Kleiman
FIRST OF ALL, CHICKEN LITTLE, the sky is not falling. But the Chicken Little obsession with global warming — or climate change or whatever the alarmists are calling it these days — is harming us today, and will hurt us in the future.
Yes, climate change occurs every single day. No two days are alike. The world has gone through at least five major ice ages followed by five warming periods. Humans had nothing to do with those. Humans probably have an impact now on climate change, but it is small in comparison with the huge forces of nature — solar activity, volcanic eruptions, orbital variations, etc. — that have a direct impact on our weather. But by spending lots of money on something over which we may or may not have much control, we are misallocating resources today at the expense of prosperity tomorrow.
That lost prosperity — read: jobs and standard of living — might have led to a better quality of life for everyone in the future, including a cleaner environment.
A recent study out of Barcelona, Spain, by noted climate expert Gabriel Caldaza, vice president of the University Francisco Marroquin in Guatemala and president of the Juan de Mariana Institute of Madrid, Spain, shows unequivocally that for every one green job created, 2.2 jobs are lost. Wow! That is quite a statistic! He cites Spain as an example, though there are striking parallels in the U.S. Spain has spent massive amounts on uneconomical green projects while restricting conventional energy build-outs through regulation. Spain now has a 27-percent unemployment rate and massive debt. The youth unemployment rate is more than 50 percent.
There are, unfortunately, striking parallels in the U.S. Look at Solyndra, which filed for bankruptcy and cost the taxpayers $527 million. Proponents claim that 40 other clean energy projects sponsored by taxpayers money helped keep 60,000 people employed (no mention whether those were part-time or full-time jobs). But how many of these projects are economically viable without taxpayer money? None.
On the other hand, how many jobs have been lost? Using Caldaza’s calculations: 132,000! These are conventional jobs — jobs that would have been created if the taxpayers could have spent that half billion dollars themselves, buying goods and services they want. Moreover, there are collateral jobs that would have been created by the ripple effect those demands place on the marketplace.
Even more jobs would have been created if the government had not stymied clean but traditional sources of energy through unnecessary regulation and stalling tactics. Our natural gas development is a real game-changer in the world. We would be totally energy self-sufficient — and, in fact, a net exporter of energy — if our gas resources were allowed to be developed rationally. What a difference that would make in world politics, too! The Keystone XL pipeline, if it were allowed to proceed, would infuse $4 billion to $5 billion of private money — not tax money — into the economy and employ 9,000 skilled American workers, with about 7,000 collateral support jobs. It has passed five EPA evaluations, yet still it is not allowed to proceed.
On the other hand, renewable energy projects have cost U.S. taxpayers $26 billion, with fewer than 2,300 permanent jobs created. That is $11.5 million per job, according to an AEIdeas.org article published in May, citing data from the Department of Energy Loan Programs Office. The article is readily available online and I urge everyone to read it.
Every time I read that Benicia or Solano County is off, like Don Quixote, tilting at windmills — or building windmills, or studying windmills — I cringe, wondering, “How much of the taxpayers’ money are they blowing in the wind this time?” Wouldn’t the money be better spent building schools, keeping the parks open, fixing the roads, adding police (think Vallejo), maintaining infrastructure like water pipelines and bridges, expanding Internet coverage, adding firemen, etc.?
It is a simple fact that a more prosperous society demands and can afford more of the benefits (goods and services) that society can create. Look at China. They have a rapidly expanding middle class, per capita income has risen dramatically and the quality of the average person’s life has improved — including air and water. According to the World Bank, China today is an upper-middle-income country whose per-capita income in 2011 was $4,940. This may not seem like much, but when you consider that according to the World Bank China’s per-capita income in 1991 was $370, it is pretty astounding. China is now the second-largest economy in the world. According to a report for the Congressional Research Services, from 1979, when economic reforms began, to 2012 China’s real GDP grew at an average annual rate of 10 percent. The projected rate for 2013 is 7.8 percent.
Contrast that with the U.S. Our middle class is shrinking. Net income (minus inflation) of the average worker has declined. We have an anemic recovery five years after going into recession. The expected GDP rate for the U.S. for 2013 is less than 2 percent. This climate obsession isn’t the whole reason, but it is definitely a part of it.
The question in my mind is three-fold. Is there climate change? Yes. Do humans contribute to it? Probably yes, but to a small degree. Finally, and most importantly, should we allocate our precious resources at this time to fight it, especially given our fragile economic recovery?
Is it worth it? Do we get good bang for the buck? To this I say emphatically — no!
Of all the major issues facing us as a small town, state, nation and as members of the world community, where should “sustainable projects” fall in spending priority? In my opinion, pretty far down. Our money would be spent much more effectively elsewhere. Once we get our feet firmly back under us, then we should look to lesser-priority items.
Ask yourself: Is our nation drifting economically toward the way of Spain, or toward China, and why? This is serious stuff, folks. The future for our kids and our nation depends on it. Give it some thought.
Suzanne Kleiman is a former college teacher who served on the Benicia Economic Development Board from 1999 to 2003. She has been an active Libertarian for many years.
environmentalpro says
We need more firemen, policemen, garbagemen, etc. Set the time machine for 1975.
Will Gregory says
From the above article:
“A recent study out of Barcelona, Spain, by noted climate expert Gabriel Caldaza, vice president of the University Francisco Marroquin in Guatemala and president of the Juan de Mariana Institute of Madrid, Spain, shows unequivocally that for every one green job created, 2.2 jobs are lost. Wow! That is quite a statistic! ”
Question: Who is noted climate expert Gabriel Caldaza?
The “whack-a-mole” study by a far-right-wing Spanish economist (and global warming denier) purporting to show that renewable energy is a job killer has been whacked once again.”
http://thephoenixsun.com/archives/4890#more-4890
Will Gregory says
More information on Gabriel Calzada Alvarez for the community to consider…
http://desmogblog.com/gabriel-calzada
j. furlong says
When I saw the headline about “Chicken Little,” I thought that, surely, the article would be about climate change DENIERS, which would make far more sense. Imagine my surprise…
Bob Livesay says
Nice article
Robert M. Shelby says
Ms. Kleiman is clearly a brilliant thinker. Sadly, her brilliance casts impenetrable shadows in which the high-powered objectors to science and resisters of necessary action will take cover. She feeds the deniers of good sense a nutritious meal of backwardism in the guise of moderation. This will help prevent intelligent steps toward mitigating our perilous situation. She employs unfairly negative rhetoric. “Chicken Little” can only suggest her opponents are small-minded, cowardly people, whereas the reverse is more true. Ms. Kleiman and those who find solace in her view need to get better educated than they are.
DDL says
Welcome to the Benicia Herald on line forum, your column is appreciated. I look forward to your future contributions.
steveboyett says
Yes, let’s keep peeing in the pool now, and increase the number of people we pay to do so, so that our grandchildren can enjoy swimming init even more after we’re gone.
DDL says
As we ponder the pending doom of the planet it is Interesting to see this piece from the UK:
BBC reported in 2007 global warming would leave Arctic ice-free in summer by 2013
So how did that prediction work out? Let’s see:
A chilly Arctic summer has left nearly a million more square miles of ocean covered with ice than at the same time last year – an increase of 60 per cent.
The rebound from 2012’s record low comes six years after the BBC reported that global warming would leave the Arctic ice-free in summer by 2013.
Mike says
“More Climate Change Nonsense As the Mail on Sunday Gets Reality All Wrong”:
http://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy/2013/09/10/climate_change_sea_ice_global_cooling_and_other_nonsense.html
DDL says
“comes six years after the BBC reported that global warming would leave the Arctic ice-free in summer by 2013”.
Hank Harrison says
Gosh the BBC was wrong. So what?
DDL says
It was not the BBC that was wrong:
BBC’s 2007 report quoted scientist Professor Wieslaw Maslowski, who based his views on super-computer models and the fact that ‘we use a high-resolution regional model for the Arctic Ocean and sea ice’.
He was confident his results were ‘much more realistic’ than other projections, which ‘underestimate the amount of heat delivered to the sea ice’. Also quoted was Cambridge University expert Professor Peter Wadhams. He backed Professor Maslowski, saying his model was ‘more efficient’ than others because it ‘takes account of processes that happen internally in the ice’.
Hank Harrison says
See above, and below. You lose, again.
DDL says
only on your score card. Nothing here refutes the fact that the original prediction was wrong, which is what I was pointing out. Case closed.
Now go ahead and respond, as you always have to have the last word.
Hank Harrison says
Wouldn’t want to disappoint, but I have few hopes this will be the last word since you are the ultimate last-word freak.
Yes, the case is closed — on climate change denial. The anti-science folks will keep trying, and failing, to deny reality, of course, but eventually we’ll drag them into the future kicking and screaming.
Thomas Petersen says
The annual sea ice minimum of 5,099m sq km reached on 13 September was not as extreme as last year (2012), when the collapse of sea ice cover broke all previous records. But it was still the sixth lowest Arctic sea ice minimum on record, and well below the average set over the past 30 years of satellite records. This suggests the Arctic will be entirely ice-free in the summer months within the next few decades.
Overall, the Arctic has lost about 40% of its sea ice cover since 1980. Most scientists believe the Arctic could be entirely ice-free in the summer by the middle of the century – if not sooner.
environmentalpro says
http://priceofoil.org/2013/09/18/house-climate-hearing-dripping-oil-money/